September 29, 2022

The Arizona Senate race is slipping from Republicans

2 min read

Cook Political Report Senate editor, explaining the rating change Jessica Taylor notes that Kelly has crushed the masters in fundraising—and has grown massively in terms of TV ad spending. “Democratic groups and Kelly have spent or saved about $65 million over the general election period, compared to about $16.2 million for GOP groups and masters,” she writes. (Taylor added that the Masters campaign is not running any ads this week.)

“In conversations with several Republicans in the state or looking at the overall Senate field, Arizona has moved down the list of flip-flopping states, even as many have looked at Pennsylvania — a notch. The ban that we moved last month but where Democrat John Fetterman has come under attack from crime-related ads and continued questions about his health — as Arizona is now more likely to stay in the GOP column than to win. Taylor concluded.

Arizona’s new ranking is notable because at the start of the 2022 election cycle, the race with Georgia was seen by many as a potential pickup opportunity for Republicans. The state had long been a Republican stronghold, though Democrats made late gains when Joe Biden carried it in 2020 and Democratic Sen. Kirsten Sinema won in 2018.

But Masters — and the problems facing the Arizona GOP in general — underscore how Donald Trump (and Trumpism) has weakened the party and made it even weaker in the general election. .

One turned out to be Masters. Sheep primary Thanks to Trump’s endorsement in August. Blake knows that the ‘Crime of the Century’ has happened, he will expose it and never let it happen again. Trump said In announcing his choice, Masters responded by calling Trump “a great man and a visionary.”
Once Masters won the nomination, however, he immediately — literally — began trying to clean up some of his past positions. Gone from his website was the previous language on. Abortion restrictions. Likewise on their thoughts Elective Denial. By way of clarification, Masters’ campaign has said that the candidate himself updates the policy section of his website and views it as one. “Living Document” As opposed to a static set of beliefs.

Masters is not alone in the struggle to deal with the various challenges of the general elections. In Pennsylvania, Republican Mehmet Oz has fallen behind Fetterman in the state’s open-seat Senate race. And in Ohio, Republican JD Vance finds himself in a surprisingly close race with Democrat Tim Ryan in the race to replace retiring GOP Sen. Rob Portman.

All three Republicans find themselves caught in the horns of a dilemma that currently faces the GOP. To win his primary, he needed to embrace the often extreme positions of Trump and the Republican base. (All three won the former president’s endorsement.) But now, as their party’s nominees, those same policies are surely damaging to their chances of winning the general election.

And this awkward dance is jeopardizing Republicans’ chances of what once seemed close: winning the Senate majority this fall.

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