December 2, 2022

Analysis: A worrisome poll number for Donald Trump

2 min read

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Donald Trump is running for president. But according to a new Quinnipiac University National Surveymany people wish he hadn’t.

About 6 in 10 Americans (57 percent) say it’s a bad thing Trump is running again, while only 34 percent say it’s a good thing.

Trump’s numbers among Democrats on that question are, not surprisingly, appalling, with 88 percent saying it’s a bad thing that he’s starting a campaign for the White House in 2024.

But Trump needn’t worry. It’s his numbers among independents (58% say running is a bad thing) and even Republicans (27% say it’s a bad thing) that should worry the former president.

The simple fact from the Quinnipiac poll is that there is a large segment of the public — and not just Democrats — who think another Trump presidential bid is a bad idea for the country.

And that’s far from the only negative takeaway from Trump in the polls. Several data points suggest that Republicans are not only open to a Ron DeSantis-led White House, but a real threat to Florida Governor Trump.

Six in 10 Republicans said they would like to see DeSantz run for president, while nearly a quarter say they would not.

When asked who they preferred to win the 2024 GOP nomination, 44% of Republicans chose DeSantis – the same percentage who chose Trump.

Now, that’s a poll. But data is data. And what the numbers suggest is that not only will Trump be a weak candidate in the general election (independent numbers aren’t great), but that there’s room for someone other than the former president in the Republican field.

As CNN’s Harry Antin recently wrote about Trump:

“He remains a force to be reckoned with in GOP circles, and the news that the Justice Department has appointed a special counsel to oversee the investigation into the former president has had the effect of rallying around Trump among Republicans. Even so, it is clear that his power within the party has diminished after the 2022 midterm elections.

All true! And it’s all for Trump loyalists who want to see him as their party’s 2024 nominee.

point: Trump leads the 2024 Republican field. But his grip on the party and the country has clearly loosened.

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