October 5, 2022

Reports of Putin’s problems are mounting

4 min read

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Reports out of Russia say a soldier and leader are desperately needed:

  • There have been anti-war protesters. Arrested and recruited directly into the military, according to a monitoring group. Those who refuse can face up to 15 years in prison.

As world leaders gathered at the United Nations in New York to condemn it, Russian President Vladimir Putin returned home, scrambling to replenish his depleted war machine.

His foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, was notably absent when US Secretary of State Antony Blanken gave a blistering speech to the UN Security Council, in which he cited Russia’s war crimes since February.

“If Russia stops fighting, the war will end. If Ukraine stops fighting, Ukraine will end,” Blanken said, pledging that the United States would maintain its increased support for Ukraine.

CNN’s Katie Bo Lillis reported Thursday that Putin is giving direct instructions to generals in the field, suggesting a level of micromanagement rare in modern warfare and evidence of the Russian military’s failings in the war in Ukraine. has come out.

According to Lillis, multiple sources familiar with U.S. intelligence said, “There are significant differences on strategy with military leaders struggling to agree on where to focus their efforts to advance the defense lines. to do.” Read more of Liles’ report.

The cost to Russia has been well documented, but these new reports of the reach of its citizens and its prisons suggest a new chapter in militancy.

In a speech, Putin advocated “partial mobilization.” Focused on reserves with former military experience. But the fine print of his written decree raised questions as to whether any able-bodied person could be forced to wear a uniform.

CNN’s international team noted: “The ultimate significance of the apparent contradiction remains unclear. And it remains to be seen whether the Kremlin has the will to mobilize the general civilian population more broadly.”

There is evidence that some Russians are not interested in waiting to see how far mobilization will go.

CNN Travel reported on one. Increased interest in flights out of Russia. Pictures of Long lines of traffic At Russia’s land borders, people were reported to be leaving the country for Kazakhstan, Georgia and Mongolia.

Exodus and alarm: Russians flee as fears grow over Putin’s mobilization plan.

“(Putin) has declared war on the home front — not just on the opposition and civil society, but on Russia’s male population,” wrote Andrei Kolsenkov, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and author of several books. books on political and social history, in an essay for CNN Opinion. Read more about Kolesnikov.

According to one, simply conscripting people into the military will not solve Putin’s problems. Quick analysis by CNN’s Brad Landon. A depleted Russian military does not have the capacity or equipment to train so many people.

Landon wrote of the call-ups, “If they were to face Ukrainian guns,” they would likely have caused the highest casualties since Putin launched the offensive more than seven months ago and would have failed the Russian military. have seen. Almost every aspect of modern warfare.

Landon cites the open-source intelligence website Oryx, which uses only confirmed losses from photographic or video evidence to document the loss of more than 6,300 vehicles, including 1,168 Russian tanks, since the fighting began. .

Nadya Tolokonnikova is a Russian dissident and a founding member of the group of activists and artists known as Cat Riot. He spent two years in a Russian prison. said on CNN On Thursday It will become more difficult for Russians to oppose Putin.

“I know very well the cost of protest in Putin’s Russia. And that cost is increasing every day, as Putin becomes more and more uneasy about his position in the geopolitical arena.

But he said that the movement against him is growing.

“People who oppose Putin have the real power, and that’s what Putin is oppressing.” On us,” he said. “We are building (a) An alternative Russia with values ​​that differ from Putin’s. We want to be a part of Western civilization.”

The singer revealed what happened to her after protesting against Putin.

Although the news out of Russia looks very bad for Putin and the news out of Ukraine suggests that Ukraine’s military is advancing beyond all expectations, it is still difficult to foresee a change in leadership there.

He is bound, as We have written here before.Unless the government acts on it.

It is not the same in a democracy, where leaders come and go. So it’s worth monitoring another geopolitical story outside the United Nations meeting in New York. This may ultimately be one of the fragility of Western democracies.

In an exclusive US interview with CNN’s Jack Tapper, French President Emmanuel Macron warned of the crisis.

“I think we have. [a] The great crisis of democracy, which I will call liberal democracy. Let’s be clear about this. Why? First, because open societies and open and very cooperative democracies put pressure on your people. It could destabilize them,” Macron said.

CNN’s Paul LeBlanc pointed out that “Macron’s comments echo President Joe Biden’s broader attempt to define the 21st century global competition through autocracy versus democracy.” Read more about Macron’s interview.

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