September 27, 2022

Putin’s current dilemma was JFK’s worst fear

5 min read

But Kennedy’s superpower logic resonates as Putin retreats into a corner because of the strategic devastation of his war, the courageous resistance of Ukraine, and an extraordinary multi-billion dollar allied conveyor of arms and ammunition.

At a fundraiser in Potomac, Maryland, on Monday night, Biden acknowledged that he was concerned that Putin had not yet made it out of the war, despite the “accountable” nature of the former KGB officer.

Top national security officials, meanwhile, acknowledged that they did not yet know what kind of Russian victory in eastern and southern Ukraine would allow Putin to declare victory and reduce the fighting. Caitlin Collins of CNN reported..
This is all a matter of concern. But this is something that seems to contradict US policy. After all, this is Washington’s stated goal in supporting Ukraine. Putin lost the war.. Biden has asked Congress for 33 33 billion in military and other aid to Ukraine, and the House voted Tuesday to approve it. About ً 40 billion bill. Washington is filling the battlefield with anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles, radars, drones, artillery rounds and howitzers.

This aggressive Western approach, Putin’s slow progress in the war and the lack of any diplomatic effort to end the war mean that it is almost certain that Russian leaders will retreat further into a dangerous corner.

Putin’s only option at the moment appears to be to surrender, acknowledging that Western efforts, combined with intense Ukrainian courage, have made things better for him – a position that is politically impossible to adopt. Will be.

How far will Putin go?

There is no real consensus on what Putin can do if he is disappointed. Although he does not share Washington’s logical and correct view that he is losing the war, there is no indication that he is committing suicide and will risk a full-scale nuclear confrontation by examining Western resolve.

Several senior US officials have publicly expressed concern that Putin could resort to tactical, low-production battlefield nuclear weapons as an alternative to the humiliating defeat in Ukraine. There was some relief on this score on Tuesday, when Aurel Haynes, director of national intelligence The United States has said in a statement that “there is no possibility of Putin using nuclear weapons.” And the director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, Lt. Gen. Scott Barrier, said the assessment includes tactics or battlefield equipment.
Top US spy says war in Ukraine is likely to be

But considering this possibility is hardly an alarm bell. Putin has proved himself a ruthless leader with little compulsion to cause mass killings. It demolished Chechen cities and landed its troops on civilians in Syria. Its war in Ukraine has highlighted the brutal shelling and bombing of residential areas, schools, stations and shelters, and the apparent war crimes committed by its troops. Thousands of its soldiers have been killed. And Putin has already used weapons of mass destruction – for example, targeting Russian territory with radioactive elements and nerve agents on British soil – at zero for civilians, Britain According to the government.

Russia’s willingness to threaten the use of nuclear weapons – in a way that the Soviet Union rarely did during the Cold War – is intended to terrorize Westerners, meanwhile. What kind of benefit can the world’s most feared weapon do to the rogue states? They want to prevent the possibility of Western intervention.

Putin showed no sign of leaving

While the United States could be criticized for failing to give Putin the kind of path that Biden was speculating about, such a move would be difficult – and it might not work anyway. ۔

To begin with, Putin does not appear to be out. While the war is an economic, military and strategic disaster for Russia, Kremlin leaders dance to their own logic. If it cannot control the whole of Ukraine or overthrow its government, it will create a massive human and material catastrophe that prevents Ukraine from functioning as a normal economy and its desire to join the West. Punishes, can be enough – and can be a hindrance for others. Former Soviet orbital states.

Two Russian journalists appear to oppose Putin, criticizing the war in Ukraine.

That’s probably one of the reasons Haynes suggested Tuesday that Russian leaders are “preparing for a protracted conflict in Ukraine, during which they still intend to achieve goals beyond Donbass.” But he warned that the similarities between Putin’s military capabilities and his ambitions meant he could be forced to return to this dangerous corner.

“The current trend increases the likelihood that President Putin will resort to more drastic measures, including enforcing martial law, redirecting industrial production, or possibly increasing military action to secure the resources needed to achieve his goals.” To be free, or if he thinks the conflict is escalating. Russia is losing in Ukraine, “Haynes said.

The idea that Putin could be pulled out of the strategic total-de-sac in which he finds himself falls for two other reasons. First, the Russian leader refused all diplomatic sanctions, requests and warnings to reduce the conflict before the attack. At stake, obviously, is his personal reputation, his political position and Russia’s reputation, as well as the decision of history. In fact, there were signs of a possible fresh surge on Tuesday. Belarus transfers special forces As far as Ukraine’s borders, citing Western aggression.

Another reason for the lack of time for diplomacy is that cowardly Western capitals such as London and Washington believe that the forces of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky, armed with Western weapons, have won the war. Stop doing that. Ukraine, however, is the wrong side, which has attacked without provocation.

And so far, Putin has not targeted arms convoys heading to Ukraine on NATO soil or carrying out major cyber attacks against Western targets – at least not publicly. Both shortcomings indicate the power of prevention.

But as the war progresses, with the constant threat of escalation or a miscalculation that will lead to a wider conflict, cracks may appear in the fortress of the Western alliance.

Finland is on track to join NATO.  That's why this is bad news for Putin.

French President Emmanuel Macron, who tried unsuccessfully to persuade Putin not to invade Ukraine, condemned the Russian leader’s remarks on Victory Day. But he also said that eventually Ukraine and Russia would have to sit down and talk about peace – a goal that would not be achieved by Moscow’s “humiliation”. Macron later spoke to Putin’s ally Chinese President Xi Jinping on Tuesday, after which Elysee Palace said he had agreed on an “urgent need for a ceasefire.”

And there was a shocking moment in the Oval Office on Tuesday, when Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi praised Biden in front of the camera, after praising the Western alliance with Ukraine and condemning the Russian invasion:

“I want to tell you that now in Italy and Europe, people want to end this massacre, this violence, this massacre. And people think what we can do to bring peace.

“At the very least, they want to think about the possibility of a ceasefire and the resumption of some credible negotiations. That is the situation at the moment. I think we need to think deeply about how to deal with it.” “

His remarks reflect the growing panic that, without any outside interference, Putin could push into the kind of corner that Kennedy was lecturing at American University in June 1963.

Months ago, as the world held its breath for fear of a nuclear war, Kennedy devised a way for Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev to stand his ground in Cuba without losing his face.

Six decades later, Putin may need some kind of accommodation, no matter how painful.

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