But in more than two months, the war has gone far beyond what Russia had imagined. Then, on May 9, Putin may have the opportunity to declare a symbolic “victory” over Ukraine – a great demonstration of patriotism aimed at reducing his manipulative, narrow audience. ۔
This date marks the day Nazi Germany surrendered to Soviet forces (the day after the surrender to the Western Allies, which is why Britain, the United States and their allies commemorate the victory on May 8). ۔
Moscow initially partnered with Nazi Berlin to divide Eastern Europe between two dictatorships. But after the collapse of that partnership with the German invasion of the USSR in 1941, the Soviet humanitarian partnership to defeat Germany – backed by massive shipments of food aid and military equipment from Britain, the United States and Canada. Retrieved via – was important.
How important is May 9 to Putin?
But there are no friendly tools available to attract other countries, Russia needs a powerful army to maintain or regain an empire. May 9 is designed to intimidate the domestic mob, intimidate the opposition, and appease the then dictator (over the years, all secretaries-general of the Communist Party have similarly visited Lenin’s mausoleum in Red Square, Russia.) Acknowledge the military strength of. Satisfaction when it passed and flew away).
Ukraine is deeply personal to Putin (but, fortunately, even more personal to the future of Ukraine, to Ukrainians). In the eyes of the Russian president, his “misguided behavior” is a hoax and his very existence is a historical flaw. Something had to be done about Ukraine’s Western ambitions, and as Russian-style diplomacy (read: repression) failed, Putin felt compelled to turn to more muscular methods to “restore order.” ۔
What he did not realize (though not what most Western analysts did) was how fundamentally corrupt and incompetent Russia’s supposedly modern and professional fighting force had become.
Ukraine’s brave resistance deserves every credit. But they could not have achieved this without the help of the Russian military. At the same time, the vertical nature of Russia’s political structure is such that there is certainly little accurate information circulating among the rest of Putin’s elite about the state of the game.
What could that mean during the war?
The two sides are effectively manipulating for a better position at the negotiating table when the time finally comes. Militarily, the war could reach a stalemate in the coming weeks, where neither side has the power to completely reverse the tide of the war and achieve a decisive victory over the other.
What does Putin’s strategy look like in Ukraine?
Russia’s strategy may have changed, but its strategy – its overall goal – did not. Its purpose is to ensure that Ukraine is no longer an independent state capable of making choices towards Europe and the West.
The good news is that the goal cannot be achieved. Ukraine’s domination – physically or politically – is now out of Russia’s grasp forever. Russia has not performed well enough on the battlefield or in the political arena. The bad news is that Russia does not yet know, and so it will continue to send its men, and many Ukrainians, to their deaths.
If sanctions remain in place, Europe could continue to wean itself with Russian energy, and if foreign investors continue to hold back, the Kremlin will run out of money by the end of the year – resulting in a final policy decision. There may be a change. But not until May 9. None of this will change until then – in the “progress” of the war or in the eyes of ordinary Russians.
Therefore, May 9 will be a show of strength as usual. But it will be hollow. Just like, I suspect, the feeling in Putin’s stomach.